Blog posts

  • 2017 Looks Good

    January 17, 2017
    The good news for the economy continues to come in. We have leading indicators that are going up. Corporate profits are on the rise. GDP is growing at a faster pace. Housing activity is strong and industrial activity is starting to recover. The economy is gearing up for a better 2017 and we...

  • ITR Economics Celebrates Its Newest Service

    January 5, 2017
    For Immediate Release: 01/05/2017 ITR Economics Celebrates Its Newest Service...

  • Positive Economic Signals for 2017

    December 14, 2016
    The stock market is ascending with record highs reported almost daily. The positive trend is a valid positive economic signal for 2017. We think the market is likely to continue in its positive trend for the following reasons: o The rate-of-change signature is positive (the market has...

  • What is the Election's Impact on ITR's Outlook?

    November 15, 2016
    Mr. Trump’s election as the next President certainly caught many of us by surprise. However, it really does not change our outlook for 2017. The leading indicators were going up before the election and we expect they will rise post-election as well. We have been forecasting general economic rise in...

  • Guarded Optimism

    October 18, 2016
    August data for US Nondefense Capital Goods New Orders (excluding aircraft) rebounded from a dismal July. August came in 9.0% higher than July; a better-than-normal increase for the month. New Orders for the month are 0.9% lower than the year-ago figure, so we clearly are not out of the woods yet...

  • Not Great but Good Enough

    October 3, 2016
    Corporate Profit data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) for the second quarter was released on September 29th. We were anxiously awaiting the data to help us determine if the recovery trend in share prices is supported by improving profits or if the rising trend is perhaps more a function...

  • The Post-Brexit Economy: Where are We Now?

    September 13, 2016
    It has been two months since the Brexit vote. The news is good. The wheels have not come off the proverbial economic cart for continental Europe or the United Kingdom. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in Paris released their first batch of leading indicator data...

  • TPP Could Bolster the Knowledge Economy

    August 11, 2016
    The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) agreement makes a convenient lightening rod. Some folks are concerned about losing American jobs through global competition. Others are concerned about large corporations manipulating politics and the economy to their own selfish advantage within a world view...

  • Economic Update from ITR Economics

    July 14, 2016
    There are several noteworthy items to note this month. 1. June employment numbers recovered from the seemingly poor May data. This relieves concern some had about the viability of the business cycle shifting into sustained recovery for US Total Industrial Production and ongoing rise for GDP....

  • BREXIT: Following Britain's Vote

    June 24, 2016
    Immediate reaction: The UK voted by 17.4 million to 16.1 million to leave the EU. By noon Eastern Time, the S...