Forecasting in Uncertainty
Forecasting You Can Trust
When the economy feels unpredictable, confidence can be hard to find. At ITR Economics, our mission is to give you clarity, not conjecture. For many decades, we have helped leaders plan proactively by combining our proven methodology, apolitical insight, and unmatched forecast accuracy.
“Since we signed up with ITR, we really haven’t had a surprising, sustained downturn… The quality for us is just the ability to feel confident in what is coming down the pike.” — Bill Condron, CEO, The Granite Group
》Our Methodology: Proven, Transparent, Reliable
Our forecasts are not based on intuition, but on evidence. Our proprietary methods combine leading indicators, rate-of-change analysis, and cyclical trend modeling to reveal what’s to come — not just what’s happening now.
Unlike models that rely solely on current data, our approach identifies turning points before they occur, helping businesses act with foresight rather than hindsight.
“Forecasting with ITR is like turning the headlights back on — you can finally see what’s ahead.” — Tom Morrison, CEO, Metal Treating Institute
Learn more: Forecasting the ITR Way vs. the Way You Were Taught
Read the blog》Our Track Record Speaks for Itself
When we say that our forecasts are accurate, we mean it. ITR Economics’ forecasts consistently outperform the industry standard, even during periods of extreme volatility.
- US GDP Forecast Accuracy: Within 0.1% of actual results during tariff-driven uncertainty.
- Client Case Accuracy: Within 2% of actual results for Vallen Distribution’s US data.
- Forecast History: Decades of published accuracy reports, year after year, even through recessions and “black swan” events.
Learn more: ITR Economics’ Forecast Accuracy: Navigating Uncertainty in the Age of Tariffs
Read the blog“We’d never heard an economist talk about their accuracy from the prior year — and I think that speaks volumes.” — Nathan Potter, President, DW Distribution
》How We Handle Data Challenges
Economic data is constantly being revised — and that is precisely why our process matters. We triangulate multiple datasets, validate historical patterns, and see beyond the noise of the headlines. Our analysts use a proprietary forecasting methodology to ensure every forecast reflects a realistic picture of what’s coming.
This resilience is why ITR forecasts remain stable when others break under noise, panic, or revision.
Learn more: Delivering Accurate Forecasts, Even When the Data Is Not Perfect
Read the blog》We Don’t Predict the Impossible, but We Can Prepare You for It
From wars and pandemics to policy shocks, history has shown that “black swan” events happen. Preparation beats prediction.
When global events disrupt markets, our clients already have context and a plan.
- COVID-19:We accurately identified the rebound timeline for major US industries.
- Russia-Ukraine War:We guided clients through supply disruptions and inflationary waves.
- Policy Shocks:Our “Wartime Forecasts” and “Tariffs in Context” analyses show how ITR maintains forecast discipline through volatility.
“It’s great knowing you can go to sleep every night knowing ITR is focusing on the numbers — you’ll wake up and make good decisions.” — Tom Morrison, MTI
》From Macroeconomics to Your Bottom Line
Every forecast we produce is designed to drive decisions, not just inform them. At ITR Economics, we bridge the gap between macroeconomic intelligence and actionable business strategy. Our economic outlooks are translated into the language of operations, finance, and sales, so your leadership team knows what to do next — and when to do it.
“Whenever we do a forecast, people want to know how it compares to ITR’s data as a reference point.” — Bill Van Horn, FP&A Manager, SEKISUI-KYDEX | “Our strategy was to outperform the market by incorporating ITR’s forecast into our strategic planning process — and we achieved that.” — Nathan Potter, DW Distribution |
Learn more: Forecast Smarter - How Macroeconomics Can Transform Your Sales Targets
Read the blog》Why Clients Trust ITR Economics
Trust is not a given, it is earned through transparency, performance, and accountability. Our clients rely on ITR because we’ve demonstrated, year after year, that our forecasts are not theoretical — they are reliable, measurable, and actionable.
“ITR’s forecasting was consistently within 2% of actual results… Prior to using ITR, forecasts were off by 10%–20%.” — Kenneth Brown, Business Owner | “ITR doesn’t give you the answers to the test, but it does tell you what’s going to be on the quiz.” — Bill Condron, The Granite Group | “It’s not the cost of the program — it’s the cost of not doing it.” — Steve Wild, LifeSport |
Learn more: Top 3 Reasons Why ITR Economics Is Not 'Just Another Data Point'
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