The resiliency of the trend supports an upward bias to the GDP trend for 2024. The tight labor will play a role in keeping the income trend generally positive. Different dynamics are at...
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The resiliency of the trend supports an upward bias to the GDP trend for 2024. The tight labor will play a role in keeping the income trend generally positive. Different dynamics are at...
Continue ReadingCredit card debt balances are going to rise further. The credit card delinquency rate is also set to go higher. The two trends may hinder retail sales ascent because of the high interest...
Continue ReadingWhy build a Financial Bunker: You want to have as much liquidity as possible come the projected 2036 major cyclical low. What might be a unique factor in the 2030s: Demographics will...
Continue ReadingInsights from Our CEO Great Depression
Why Will It Be a Prolonged Decline? Essentially the question revolves around central bank intervention through increased liquidity and lower (and perhaps negative) interest rates, and...
Continue ReadingLatest Inflation Indications The rate of inflation indicated by the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Deflator (PCE Price Deflator) declined to 3.0% with the October data. Excluding...
Continue ReadingWhile there was good news in the 3Q23 figure, some cracks in the economy’s support are showing. The level of personal consumption expenditures in 3Q23 seems contradictory to news of...
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