94.7% FORECAST ACCURACY   ||  BUSINESS-MINDED ECONOMISTS   ||  UNBIASED AND APOLITICAL

Free Economic Updates

Insights from Our CEO Finance

Real Personal Income Is Rising
By Brian Beaulieu on March 4, 2024

The resiliency of the trend supports an upward bias to the GDP trend for 2024. The tight labor will play a role in keeping the income trend generally positive. Different dynamics are at...

Continue Reading

Insights from Our CEO Finance

US Consumers Posting Record-High Credit Card Debt Balances
By Brian Beaulieu on February 8, 2024

Credit card debt balances are going to rise further. The credit card delinquency rate is also set to go higher. The two trends may hinder retail sales ascent because of the high interest...

Continue Reading

Insights from Our CEO Finance

Why You Need a ‘Financial Bunker’ Heading Into the 2030s
By Brian Beaulieu on January 18, 2024

Why build a Financial Bunker: You want to have as much liquidity as possible come the projected 2036 major cyclical low. What might be a unique factor in the 2030s: Demographics will...

Continue Reading

Insights from Our CEO Great Depression

But What About…?: Answering Questions on the 2030s Depression
By Brian Beaulieu on January 5, 2024

Why Will It Be a Prolonged Decline? Essentially the question revolves around central bank intervention through increased liquidity and lower (and perhaps negative) interest rates, and...

Continue Reading

News Insights from Our CEO

Interest Rate Decline in 2024
By Brian Beaulieu on December 6, 2023

Latest Inflation Indications The rate of inflation indicated by the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Deflator (PCE Price Deflator) declined to 3.0% with the October data. Excluding...

Continue Reading

News Insights from Our CEO

3Q23 Real GDP by the Numbers – 3 Takeaways
By Brian Beaulieu on November 2, 2023

While there was good news in the 3Q23 figure, some cracks in the economy’s support are showing. The level of personal consumption expenditures in 3Q23 seems contradictory to news of...

Continue Reading

The latest insights from our expert economists, delivered right to your inbox.